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No Fed events or economic data releases occur today because US markets are closed on Saturday and the Fed is in a blackout period (July 18–30) before the July 28–29 meeting.opportunity angle: No actionable catalyst today with markets closed and Fed blacked out; use the pause to prepare watchlists for Monday's reopening and delayed data dumps.
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Daily statistical releases scheduled for today will instead be released on Monday, July 20, as confirmed by the Federal Reserve calendar.opportunity angle: Delayed statistics to Monday could create volatility at the open; watch for gap moves and consider straddling major indices or high-beta names ahead of the data release.
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Major overnight news to watch: June CPI showed headline inflation at -0.4% and core inflation flat (2.6% YoY), significantly cooling expectations for a September rate hike.opportunity angle: Cooling inflation (-0.4% headline, flat core) reduces rate-hike pressure and should support duration trades; look for rallies in growth/tech and rate-sensitive sectors like REITs and utilities.
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh recently testified without triggering a policy shock, while Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan posted exceptional earnings beats, supporting the S&P 500 rebound toward 7,600–7,700.opportunity angle: No policy shock from Warsh plus Goldman/JPMorgan earnings beats and S&P pushing 7,600–7,700 suggest strong momentum; financials (GS, JPM) and broad market longs/calls look attractive on pullbacks.
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Oil stabilized between $75–$82 as Iran tensions did not escalate, and the SOX Index began recovering after a 20% correction, with 95% of reporting companies beating EPS expectations.opportunity angle: Oil stability removes energy-cost headwind, SOX recovering from 20% drop with 95% EPS beats signals semiconductor and tech long setups; consider semis (SMH, individual chip names) and broader tech on
With markets closed today and the Fed in blackout, attention naturally shifts to Monday's session where recent supportive developments may guide positioning. The cooling June CPI print and lack of policy surprises from Fed Chair Warsh have eased near-term rate hike fears, while strong earnings beats from major financials and a 95% EPS beat rate offer a constructive backdrop for rotation into quality names or sectors that lagged during the recent correction. The SOX Index's early bounce off its 20% drawdown and stabilized oil prices suggest traders may scout semiconductor and energy-sensitive plays for dip-buy setups or call spreads, especially if Monday's tone confirms follow-through on the S&P's push toward recent resistance levels.
8 sources
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-july.htm
- https://www.chicagofed.org/utilities/about-us/federal-reserve-calendars
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents.htm
- https://mystockresearch.substack.com/p/us-equity-market-weekly-report-week-5eb
- https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/calendar
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/events/index
- https://www.sahmcapital.com/news/content/update-2-federal-reserve-events-2026-06-24