Macro & rates
The macro picture that moves US equities — the Fed path, inflation, the jobs market and the yield curve. Straight from FRED, no editorializing.
Rates & the Fed
Effective Fed Funds rate
3.63
%
-0.27%
vs prior
2026-05-01
2-year Treasury yield
4.05
%
+1.76%
vs prior
2026-06-01
10-year Treasury yield
4.47
%
+0.45%
vs prior
2026-06-01
10-yr minus 2-yr spread
0.41
%
-2.38%
vs prior
2026-06-02
Inflation
CPI (headline, SA)
332.41
Index 1982-84=100
+0.64%
vs prior
2026-04-01
Core CPI (SA)
335.42
Index 1982-84=100
+0.38%
vs prior
2026-04-01
Core PCE
129.63
Index 2017=100
+0.24%
vs prior
2026-04-01
Jobs & growth
Unemployment rate
4.30
%
+0.00%
vs prior
2026-04-01
Nonfarm payrolls
158736.00
Thousands
+0.07%
vs prior
2026-04-01
Initial jobless claims
215000.00
Thousands SA
+2.38%
vs prior
2026-05-23
Risk & liquidity
VIX (close)
16.05
Index
+4.77%
vs prior
2026-06-01
Source: FRED
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