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CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. NYQ · CF

$126.71 -0.64 (-0.50%)
Blow-off · +2.10σ Hot zone Grade C
+ Compare Open in Sniper
Mkt cap $19.5B
P/E 11.5
Day $125.59 – $130.01
52wk $88.78 – $141.96
Avg vol 2.8M
Beta 0.39
Div yld 1.88%
Next earnings —

Quick read

At a glance

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments.

CF last traded at $126.71, down 0.5% on the day; that's in the upper part of its 52-week range ($88.78–$141.96). Right now it's stretched well above its recent average — moves this fast often cool off or give some back.

Earnings reports are the biggest scheduled catalysts to keep an eye on, and after a strong run, watch whether the price can hold its gains on quieter days.

A quick snapshot built from the data on this page — not investment advice. Always do your own research.

Today's read

Grading desk →

Price is stretched well above its normal range — a standard stretch that often pulls back toward normal.

Long —
Setup score 12 / 100
Price is sitting close to its normal range — no real dip to buy yet.
  • · Aligned with weak uptrend
Technical read: above KC1 lower, +2.00 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
What it means: Price is sitting close to its normal range — no real dip to buy yet. The trigger bar shows no standout candle signal yet.
Score split: chart signals 12 / 80 · news & fundamentals checks 0 / 20 — chart signals carry most of the grade.
How this grade was earned
total 12 pts
Cycle position 6
Market fit 6

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Short C
Setup score 37 / 100
Price is stretched well above its normal range — a standard stretch that often pulls back toward normal.
ℹ️ Stretched (KC2): stop is set a little wider to avoid a whipsaw, so the reward/risk reads a bit lower by design.
  • · KC2 upper stretch — standard mean-reversion tier
  • · RSI hook from overbought (69)
  • · Stochastic bear cross in overbought
Technical read: KC2 upper, +2.00 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
What it means: Price is stretched well above its normal range — a standard stretch that often pulls back toward normal. The trigger bar shows no standout candle signal yet.
Score split: chart signals 37 / 80 · news & fundamentals checks 0 / 20 — chart signals carry most of the grade.
How this grade was earned
total 37 pts
Cycle position 22
Momentum 12
Market fit 3

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

132-Day Trend Zones

Full chart →
21 EMA +1 ATR +2 ATR −2 ATR
—
O — H — L — C —
— —

Under the hood

On the latest daily bar, momentum sits mid-range (RSI 67), the trend is quiet (ADX 25), and trading is light at 0.5× normal volume. On the business side, revenue is growing 19% year over year and the business keeps about 15 cents of every sales dollar as free cash.

Latest-bar indicator readings behind the grade — display-only, they don't move the letter.

Momentum · RSI
67
0–100 · <30 oversold
Trend strength · ADX
25
>25 = strong trend
Volume vs avg
0.48×
1× = average
Stretch from avg
+1.9 ATR
− below · + above
Zone touches
0
tests of this zone
Suggested hold
3–30
bars (≈ days)
Fundamentals at a glance

Company fundamentals for context — display-only, they don't move the grade.

Revenue growth
+19.4%
year over year
Free-cash-flow margin
15.2%
cash kept per $ of sales
Debt / equity
0.44
lower = less leveraged
P/E ratio
11.4
price ÷ yearly profit

Valuation & accounting

Valuation desk →

Our cash-flow model pegs fair value near $272.41 (fair range $138–$272); today's price leaves a +54% cushion below that estimate. The model's verdict is “Deep value” and accounting quality screens as Adequate. Model estimates only — do your own due diligence.

Deep value +54% margin of safety Accounting: Adequate
Intrinsic (DCF)
$272.41
Fair-value range
$138.33 – $272.41
Margin of safety
+54%
Accounting quality Adequate
  • ✓ Quick ratio 2.80 (antifragile)
  • ✓ Current ratio 3.37 (antifragile)
  • ✓ Positive retained earnings
  • ✓ Net margin 24%
  • ⚠ Debt exceeds cash

Price implies ~7% growth (vs trailing rev yoy). Model estimate — do your own due diligence.

Key statistics

All statistics →

CF is a $19.5 billion company, priced at 11× last year's earnings, and it moves more calmly than the market (beta 0.4).

Market cap $19.5B
P/E ttm 11.5
Beta 0.39
52w range $88.78 – $141.96
Avg volume 2.8M
Dividend yield 1.88%
Sector Basic Materials
Next earnings —
52-week range · today's price
$88.78$141.96

More on CF

About

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea l…