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AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG

$253.90 -2.03 (-0.79%)
Extended · +1.67σ Grade C
Mkt cap $65.8B
P/E 41.1
Day $252.30 – $261.92
52wk $190.75 – $261.92
Avg vol
Beta
Div yld
Next earnings

Quick read

Plain English

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is a financial services company listed in the US.

AJG last traded at $253.90, down 0.8% on the day; that's in the upper part of its 52-week range ($190.75–$261.92). Right now it's trading above its recent average — momentum is positive, though some of the move may already be in the price.

Earnings reports are the biggest scheduled catalysts to keep an eye on, and after a strong run, watch whether the price can hold its gains on quieter days.

A plain-English snapshot built from the data on this page — not investment advice. Always do your own research.

Today's read

Grading desk →

KC2 upper, +1.62 ATR from EMA21 — no notable pattern

Long
score 16 · tech 16 / 80 · support 0 / 20
above KC1 lower, +1.62 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
  • · Aligned with strong uptrend (strong tailwind)
How this grade was earned
total 16 pts
Cycle position 6
Market fit 10

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Short C
score 28 · tech 28 / 80 · support 0 / 20
KC2 upper, +1.62 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
ℹ️ Stretched (KC2): stop is set a little wider to avoid a whipsaw, so the reward/risk reads a bit lower by design.
  • · KC2 upper stretch — standard mean-reversion tier
  • · RSI hook from overbought (64)
  • · Counter-trend short in strong uptrend
How this grade was earned
total 28 pts
Cycle position 22
Momentum 6

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

132-Day Trend Zones

Full chart →
21 EMA +1 ATR +2 ATR −2 ATR
O H L C

Under the hood

On the latest daily bar, momentum sits mid-range (RSI 64), the trend is strong (ADX 43), and volume is about normal (0.8×). On the business side, revenue is growing 35% year over year and the business keeps about 8 cents of every sales dollar as free cash.

Latest-bar indicator readings behind the grade — display-only, they don't move the letter.

Momentum · RSI
64
0–100 · <30 oversold
Trend strength · ADX
43
>25 = strong trend
Volume vs avg
0.79×
1× = average
Stretch from avg
+1.6 ATR
− below · + above
Zone touches
0
tests of this zone
Suggested hold
3–30
bars (≈ days)
Fundamentals at a glance

Company fundamentals for context — display-only, they don't move the grade.

Revenue growth
+34.6%
year over year
Free-cash-flow margin
7.7%
cash kept per $ of sales
Debt / equity
0.56
lower = less leveraged
P/E ratio
41.1
price ÷ yearly profit

Valuation & accounting

Valuation desk →

Our cash-flow model pegs fair value near $185.65 (fair range $84–$186); today's price sits 37% above that estimate. The model's verdict is “Overvalued” and accounting quality screens as Weak. Model estimates only — do your own due diligence.

Intrinsic (DCF)
$185.65
Fair-value range
$84.08 – $185.65
Margin of safety
-37%
Verdict
Overvalued
Accounting quality Weak
  • ✓ Positive retained earnings
  • ✓ Gross margin 43% (pricing power)
  • ⚠ Debt exceeds cash
  • ⚠ Quick ratio 0.20 (fragile)
  • ⚠ Receivables growing faster than revenue

Price implies ~30% growth (vs trailing rev yoy). Model estimate — do your own due diligence.

Key statistics

All statistics →

AJG is a $65.8 billion company, priced at 41× last year's earnings, and the stock is trading near the top of its 52-week range.

Mkt cap $65.8B
P/E ttm 41.1
Fwd P/E
Beta
Day range $252.30 – $261.92
52w range $190.75 – $261.92
Avg vol
RSI(2) 50.5
ROE
Net mgn
FCF mgn 7.7%
Debt/Eq 0.56
Div yld
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance Brokers
Next earn
52-week range · today's price
$190.75$261.92

More on AJG

Options idea

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