MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

$312.60 +6.75 (+2.21%)

Blow-off · +3.81σ Hot zone Grade C

+ Compare Open in Sniper

Mkt cap $87.2B

P/E 19.7

Day $306.81 – $313.15

52wk $170.08 – $313.15

Avg vol —

Beta —

Div yld —

Next earnings —

Quick read

Plain English

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a energy company listed in the US.

MPC last traded at $312.60, up 2.2% on the day; that's in the upper part of its 52-week range ($170.08–$313.15). Right now it's stretched well above its recent average — moves this fast often cool off or give some back.

Earnings reports are the biggest scheduled catalysts to keep an eye on, and after a strong run, watch whether the price can hold its gains on quieter days.

A plain-English snapshot built from the data on this page — not investment advice. Always do your own research.

Today's read

Grading desk →

above KC1 lower, +3.73 ATR from EMA21 — hammer

Long C

score 31 · tech 31 / 80 · support 0 / 20

above KC1 lower, +3.73 ATR from EMA21 · hammer

· Hammer candle — long lower wick rejection
· Aligned with strong uptrend (strong tailwind)

How this grade was earned

total 31 pts

Cycle position 6

Candle signal 15

Market fit 10

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Short C

score 30 · tech 30 / 80 · support 0 / 20

KC3 upper (deep stretch), +3.73 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern

ℹ️ Deep stretch (KC3): stop is set wider to avoid a whipsaw, so the reward/risk reads lower (~1R) by design — not a worse trade.

· AUTO-CORRECT: KC3 wall hit, river pushing further from EMA21
· KC3 upper stretch — deepest mean-reversion tier
· Counter-trend short in strong uptrend

How this grade was earned

total 30 pts

Cycle position 30

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

132-Day Trend Zones

Full chart →

21 EMA +1 ATR +2 ATR −2 ATR

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O — H — L — C —

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Under the hood

On the latest daily bar, momentum is running hot (RSI 78, overbought territory), the trend is strong (ADX 32), and volume is about normal (0.9×). On the business side, revenue is growing 9% year over year and the business keeps about 3 cents of every sales dollar as free cash.

Latest-bar indicator readings behind the grade — display-only, they don't move the letter.

Momentum · RSI

0–100 · <30 oversold

Trend strength · ADX

>25 = strong trend

Volume vs avg

0.91×

1× = average

Stretch from avg

+3.7 ATR

− below · + above

Zone touches

tests of this zone

Suggested hold

3–30

bars (≈ days)

Fundamentals at a glance

Company fundamentals for context — display-only, they don't move the grade.

Revenue growth

+8.8%

year over year

Free-cash-flow margin

2.7%

cash kept per $ of sales

Debt / equity

1.47

lower = less leveraged

P/E ratio

19.7

price ÷ yearly profit

Valuation & accounting

Valuation desk →

Our cash-flow model pegs fair value near $154.10 (fair range $154–$1364); today's price sits 94% above that estimate. The model's verdict is “Overvalued” and accounting quality screens as Weak. Model estimates only — do your own due diligence.

Intrinsic (DCF)

$154.10

Fair-value range

$154.10 – $1363.64

Margin of safety

-94%

Verdict

Overvalued

Accounting quality Weak

✓ Positive retained earnings

⚠ Debt exceeds cash
⚠ Quick ratio 0.63 (fragile)
⚠ Debt/equity 3.46 (fragile)
⚠ Inventory growing faster than revenue

Price implies ~16% growth (vs trailing rev yoy). Model estimate — do your own due diligence.

Key statistics

All statistics →

MPC is a $87.2 billion company, priced at 20× last year's earnings, and the stock is trading near the top of its 52-week range.

Mkt cap $87.2B

P/E ttm 19.7

Fwd P/E —

Beta —

Day range $306.81 – $313.15

52w range $170.08 – $313.15

Avg vol —

RSI(2) 91.8

ROE —

Net mgn —

FCF mgn 2.7%

Debt/Eq 1.47

Div yld —

Sector Energy

Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Next earn —

52-week range · today's price

$170.08$313.15