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PAYX

Paychex, Inc. NMS · PAYX

$114.39 -0.31 (-0.27%)
Blow-off · +2.43σ Hot zone Grade B
Mkt cap $40.7B
P/E 23.4
Day $112.50 – $117.72
52wk $85.45 – $117.72
Avg vol 3.4M
Beta
Div yld 4.16%
Next earnings 2026-06-24

Quick read

Plain English

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India.

PAYX last traded at $114.39, down 0.3% on the day; that's in the upper part of its 52-week range ($85.45–$117.72). Right now it's stretched well above its recent average — moves this fast often cool off or give some back.

The next scheduled earnings report (2026-06-24) is the biggest known catalyst on the calendar, and after a strong run, watch whether the price can hold its gains on quieter days.

A plain-English snapshot built from the data on this page — not investment advice. Always do your own research.

Today's read

Grading desk →

KC3 upper (deep stretch), +2.44 ATR from EMA21 — no notable pattern

Long
score 12 · tech 12 / 80 · support 0 / 20
above KC1 lower, +2.44 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
  • · Aligned with weak uptrend
How this grade was earned
total 12 pts
Cycle position 6
Market fit 6

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Short B
score 48 · tech 48 / 80 · support 0 / 20
KC3 upper (deep stretch), +2.44 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern
ℹ️ Deep stretch (KC3): stop is set wider to avoid a whipsaw, so the reward/risk reads lower (~1R) by design — not a worse trade.
  • · KC3 upper stretch — deepest mean-reversion tier
  • · RSI hook from extreme overbought (71)
  • · Stochastic bear cross in overbought
How this grade was earned
total 48 pts
Cycle position 30
Momentum 15
Market fit 3

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Candle-size grades

tap a size to open that chart

132-Day Trend Zones

Full chart →
21 EMA +1 ATR +2 ATR −2 ATR
O H L C

Under the hood

On the latest daily bar, momentum is running hot (RSI 71, overbought territory), the trend is quiet (ADX 23), and volume is about normal (1.1×). On the business side, revenue is growing 12% year over year and the business keeps about 43 cents of every sales dollar as free cash.

Latest-bar indicator readings behind the grade — display-only, they don't move the letter.

Momentum · RSI
71
0–100 · <30 oversold
Trend strength · ADX
23
>25 = strong trend
Volume vs avg
1.12×
1× = average
Stretch from avg
+2.4 ATR
− below · + above
Zone touches
0
tests of this zone
Suggested hold
5–60
bars (≈ days)
Fundamentals at a glance

Company fundamentals for context — display-only, they don't move the grade.

Revenue growth
+12.5%
year over year
Free-cash-flow margin
43.1%
cash kept per $ of sales
Debt / equity
1.23
lower = less leveraged
P/E ratio
22.5
price ÷ yearly profit

Valuation & accounting

Valuation desk →

Our cash-flow model pegs fair value near $120.86 (fair range $33–$121); today's price leaves a +5% cushion below that estimate. The model's verdict is “Fair” and accounting quality screens as Weak. Model estimates only — do your own due diligence.

Intrinsic (DCF)
$120.86
Fair-value range
$33.48 – $120.86
Margin of safety
+5%
Verdict
Fair
Accounting quality Weak
  • ✓ Positive retained earnings
  • ✓ Gross margin 67% (pricing power)
  • ✓ Net margin 27%
  • ⚠ Debt exceeds cash
  • ⚠ Quick ratio 0.35 (fragile)
  • ⚠ Debt/equity 3.01 (fragile)
  • ⚠ Receivables growing faster than revenue

Price implies ~12% growth (vs trailing rev yoy). Model estimate — do your own due diligence.

Key statistics

All statistics →

PAYX is a $40.7 billion company, priced at 23× last year's earnings, and the stock is trading near the top of its 52-week range.

Mkt cap $40.7B
P/E ttm 23.4
Fwd P/E 17.9
Beta
Day range $112.50 – $117.72
52w range $85.45 – $117.72
Avg vol 3.4M
RSI(2) 85.0
ROE
Net mgn 26.6%
FCF mgn 43.1%
Debt/Eq 1.24
Div yld 4.16%
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Next earn 2026-06-24
52-week range · today's price
$85.45$117.72

More on PAYX

Options idea

See more →
CALL $115 2026-08-21
$3.49
ITM PUT $120 2026-08-21 · 34d
~$7.66
OTM PUT $110 2026-08-21 · 34d
~$2.28

ITM tracks the stock · OTM is cheaper / more leverage. Model-priced — verify the live chain. As of 20h ago (2026-07-18 18:02 UTC).

Earnings

See more →
Last reported
2026-06-24
EPS (act / est)
1.32 / 1.31
Surprise
+0.9%
Next report
2026-09-29

About

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance…