PGR

Progressive Corporation (The) PGR

$207.95 +2.15 (+1.04%)

Pullback · -1.45σ Grade C

+ Compare Open in Sniper

Mkt cap $131.9B

P/E 10.4

Day $206.94 – $211.99

52wk $189.20 – $239.38

Avg vol —

Beta —

Div yld —

Next earnings —

Quick read

Plain English

Progressive Corporation (The) is a financial services company listed in the US.

PGR last traded at $207.95, up 1.0% on the day; that's in the middle part of its 52-week range ($189.20–$239.38). Right now it's dipped below its recent average — a spot where watchers often look for signs the dip is stabilizing.

Earnings reports are the biggest scheduled catalysts to keep an eye on, and after the recent dip, watch whether the price stops making lower lows before assuming the worst is over.

A plain-English snapshot built from the data on this page — not investment advice. Always do your own research.

Today's read

Grading desk →

below KC1 upper, -1.59 ATR from EMA21 — shooting star

Long —

score 20 · tech 20 / 80 · support 0 / 20

KC1 lower, -1.59 ATR from EMA21 · no notable pattern

· KC1 lower stretch — light dip
· RSI hook from oversold (42)
· Counter-trend long in strong downtrend

How this grade was earned

total 20 pts

Cycle position 14

Momentum 6

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

Short C

score 31 · tech 31 / 80 · support 0 / 20

below KC1 upper, -1.59 ATR from EMA21 · shooting star

· Shooting star — long upper wick rejection
· Aligned with strong downtrend (strong tailwind)

How this grade was earned

total 31 pts

Cycle position 6

Candle signal 15

Market fit 10

Each bar shows how many points that factor added. The more points — and the more factors that agree — the higher the letter grade.

132-Day Trend Zones

Full chart →

21 EMA +1 ATR +2 ATR −2 ATR

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O — H — L — C —

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Under the hood

On the latest daily bar, momentum sits mid-range (RSI 42), the trend is strong (ADX 39), and volume is about normal (0.9×). On the business side, revenue is growing 7% year over year and the business keeps about 20 cents of every sales dollar as free cash.

Latest-bar indicator readings behind the grade — display-only, they don't move the letter.

Momentum · RSI

0–100 · <30 oversold

Trend strength · ADX

>25 = strong trend

Volume vs avg

0.93×

1× = average

Stretch from avg

-1.6 ATR

− below · + above

Zone touches

tests of this zone

Suggested hold

3–30

bars (≈ days)

Fundamentals at a glance

Company fundamentals for context — display-only, they don't move the grade.

Revenue growth

+7.3%

year over year

Free-cash-flow margin

19.6%

cash kept per $ of sales

Debt / equity

0.24

lower = less leveraged

P/E ratio

10.4

price ÷ yearly profit

Valuation & accounting

Valuation desk →

Our cash-flow model pegs fair value near $583.30 (fair range $307–$592); today's price leaves a +64% cushion below that estimate. The model's verdict is “Deep value” and accounting quality screens as Weak. Model estimates only — do your own due diligence.

Intrinsic (DCF)

$583.30

Fair-value range

$306.64 – $591.68

Margin of safety

+64%

Verdict

Deep value

Accounting quality Weak

✓ Positive retained earnings

⚠ Debt exceeds cash
⚠ Debt/equity 3.06 (fragile)

Price implies ~-10% growth (vs trailing rev yoy). Model estimate — do your own due diligence.

Key statistics

All statistics →

PGR is a $131.9 billion company, priced at 10× last year's earnings.

Mkt cap $131.9B

P/E ttm 10.4

Fwd P/E —

Beta —

Day range $206.94 – $211.99

52w range $189.20 – $239.38

Avg vol —

RSI(2) 30.0

ROE —

Net mgn —

FCF mgn 19.6%

Debt/Eq 0.24

Div yld —

Sector Financial Services

Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty

Next earn —

52-week range · today's price

$189.20$239.38